YTD 34-29 +32.04 (+12.6%) staked 254.23
Regular 34-25 +34.04
Parlay 0-4 -2.00
RBNY vs San Jose
- a bit of a miracle only 1 goal was scored in first leg as there were tons of chances, great saves, posts, and crossbars to keep it to the 0-1 score. Most of the chances came from the Red Bulls who should have finished the Earthquakes off in first leg but now just have the 1 goal cushion for the home leg. Truth be told, SJ is no worse on the road than at home so I don't agree with the odds at -1 goal but due to the situation I also won't bet on SJ as they must chase the game. SJ pulled out 22 of their 46 points on the road and had nice success in the east but have never pulled a point out of New York since re-entering the league in 2008 (0-0-3 1/8). The Quakes have netted in 4 of their last 5 road games, 8 goals in total, so clearly can play counter football with Chris Wondolowski scoring their last SIX road goals, all in the month of October. If the Red Bulls can't stop him tonight we'll see some goals for sure. RBNY have posted 3 straight home shutouts and if they get up a goal or two might really pack in the defense but I truly believe they are a terrible defensive club, needing Condoul to save them game in and game out. As mentioned last week these are the two playoff clubs that have allowed the most shots and shots on goal and nothing really changed in first leg with Jon Busch forced into making 6 saves and 25 shots taken total. When higher seeded team is at home the over is a 50/50 shot since new format and there are no stats on the higher seeded team taking a lead into the 2nd leg since this is the first time it has happened. I will know right away what type of mentality RBNY come into the game with...if Ballouchy is playing, they are attacking but if he's sitting in place of Tchani they will play defensively. I trust Hans Backe as he's played many playoff-type series in his career (FCK, PAO in Europe for example) so he knows even a 1-0 road win can be overturned easily. Weather a bit chilly and rainy but overall not unexpected for November in New Jersey.
RBNY/SJ over 2.5 4u +100
Regular 34-25 +34.04
Parlay 0-4 -2.00
RBNY vs San Jose
- a bit of a miracle only 1 goal was scored in first leg as there were tons of chances, great saves, posts, and crossbars to keep it to the 0-1 score. Most of the chances came from the Red Bulls who should have finished the Earthquakes off in first leg but now just have the 1 goal cushion for the home leg. Truth be told, SJ is no worse on the road than at home so I don't agree with the odds at -1 goal but due to the situation I also won't bet on SJ as they must chase the game. SJ pulled out 22 of their 46 points on the road and had nice success in the east but have never pulled a point out of New York since re-entering the league in 2008 (0-0-3 1/8). The Quakes have netted in 4 of their last 5 road games, 8 goals in total, so clearly can play counter football with Chris Wondolowski scoring their last SIX road goals, all in the month of October. If the Red Bulls can't stop him tonight we'll see some goals for sure. RBNY have posted 3 straight home shutouts and if they get up a goal or two might really pack in the defense but I truly believe they are a terrible defensive club, needing Condoul to save them game in and game out. As mentioned last week these are the two playoff clubs that have allowed the most shots and shots on goal and nothing really changed in first leg with Jon Busch forced into making 6 saves and 25 shots taken total. When higher seeded team is at home the over is a 50/50 shot since new format and there are no stats on the higher seeded team taking a lead into the 2nd leg since this is the first time it has happened. I will know right away what type of mentality RBNY come into the game with...if Ballouchy is playing, they are attacking but if he's sitting in place of Tchani they will play defensively. I trust Hans Backe as he's played many playoff-type series in his career (FCK, PAO in Europe for example) so he knows even a 1-0 road win can be overturned easily. Weather a bit chilly and rainy but overall not unexpected for November in New Jersey.
RBNY/SJ over 2.5 4u +100
